The Atlanta Fed's SouthPoint offers commentary and observations on various aspects of the region's economy.
The blog's authors include staff from the Atlanta Fed’s Regional Economic Information Network and Public Affairs Department.
Postings are weekly.
Southeastern housing update: Regional home sales growth remains positive in May
Southeastern housing contacts continued to report year-over-year gains in home sales during May. More than two-thirds of builders reported that sales in May were flat to slightly up compared with a year earlier. Likewise, roughly two-thirds of brokers reported that sales growth exceeded the year earlier-level. Nearly half of those that reported increases said sales were up slightly, while the remainder reported significant gains. Several builders and brokers noted that the recovery is "spotty." Buyers are being very selective about where they buy, and builders are only building in prime locations.
According to Southeast brokers, midpriced home sales growth continued to outpace the low- and high-end markets. Several brokers reported that the low supplies of foreclosed homes available for sale were restraining investor sales at the low end of the market.
More than half of southeastern builders reported that new home inventories were below the year-earlier level in May, while most brokers reported that inventories were flat to down. Most builders and brokers reported that home inventories were flat to down from April to May.
Market reports from around the region confirm declining home inventories on both an annual and monthly basis.
|Changes in Regional Home Inventories, May 2012|
|Jacksonville, FL||–30.3%||–7.7%||Northeast Florida Realtors Association|
|Orlando, FL||–24.9%||–4.6%||Orlando Regional Realtors Association|
|Nashville, TN||–16.1%||–1.6%||Greater Nashville Association of Realtors|
|Tampa, FL||–43.8%||–12.4%||Greater Tampa Association of Realtors|
Based on reports from Southeastern brokers and builders, it appears that declining inventories have resulted in some stabilization in home prices. The majority reported that home prices were flat to slightly up on a year-over-year basis. However, builders and brokers continued to note downward pressure on home prices. Some reports indicate that purchase offers remain on the low side, and several said that appraisals were coming in lower than the contract price.
Southeastern builders and brokers indicated that buyer traffic remained slightly ahead of year-earlier levels in May.
The outlook among both Southeastern builders and brokers remains positive. The majority anticipate modest annual home sales growth over the next several months. Similarly, most builders anticipate construction activity will remain ahead of year-ago levels over the next several months.
Note: May poll results are based on responses from 58 residential brokers and 30 homebuilders and were collected June 4–13, 2012. The housing poll's diffusion indexes are calculated as the percentage of total respondents reporting increases minus the percentage reporting declines. Positive values in the index indicate increased activity while negative values indicate decreased activity.
By Whitney Mancuso, a senior analyst in the Atlanta Fed's research department
TrackBack URL for this entry:
Listed below are links to blogs that reference Southeastern housing update: Regional home sales growth remains positive in May:
- Southeast PMI Surges in February
- Tiny Bubbles in Alabama
- Through the Eyes of a Big Fan
- Southeastern Manufacturing Sees No Shadow
- Southeastern Labor Market Continues Strengthening
- A New Year, a Better Economy?
- Florida's Economic Rebound Continues
- Charting Employer Sentiment in the Southeast
- O Manufacturing, Is Winter Thy Enemy?
- New Orleans Area Optimistic Heading into 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- Banks and banking
- Beige Book
- Business Cycles
- Commodity Prices
- Consumer Savings
- Data Releases
- Disaster recovery
- Economic conditions
- Economic Growth and Development
- Economic Indicators
- Fiscal Policy
- Gulf Coast
- Health Care
- Holiday Sales
- Labor Markets
- Local Economic Analysis and Research Network (LEARN)
- Monetary Policy
- Natural Disasters
- New Orleans
- Oil Spill
- Real Estate
- Sales Tax